Interpreting Power Chantix (varenicline) tablets are used as an aid to help people stop smoking. In a clinical trial, 129 subjects were treated with Chantix twice a day for 12 weeks, and 16 subjects experienced abdominal pain (based on data from Pfizer, Inc.). If someone claims that more than 8% of Chantix users experience abdominal pain, that claim is supported with a hypothesis test conducted with a 0.05 significance level. Using 0.18 as an alternative value of p, the power of the test is 0.96. Interpret this value of the power of the test.

Type I and Type II Errors

In Exercises 25–28, provide statements that identify the type I error and the type II error that correspond to the given claim. (Although conclusions are usually expressed in verbal form, the answers here can be expressed with statements that include symbolic expressions such as p = 0.1.)

The proportion of people who write with their left hand is equal to 0.1.

Minting Dollar Coins For the sample data from Exercise 1, we get a P-value of 0.0041 when testing the claim that σ < 0.04000 g.

What should we conclude about the null hypothesis?

What should we conclude about the original claim?

What do these results suggest about the new minting process?

Finding P-Values

In Exercises 13–16, do the following:

i. Identify the hypothesis test as being two-tailed, left-tailed, or right-tailed.

ii. Find the P-value. (See Figure 8-3.)

iii. Using a significance level of α = 0.05 should we reject H0 or should we fail to reject H0?

The test statistic of z = -0.75 is obtained when testing the claim that p<1/3.

Testing Claims About Proportions

In Exercises 9–32, test the given claim. Identify the null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, test statistic, P-value, or critical value(s), then state the conclusion about the null hypothesis, as well as the final conclusion that addresses the original claim. Use the P-value method unless your instructor specifies otherwise. Use the normal distribution as an approximation to the binomial distribution, as described in Part 1 of this section.

Belief in Ghosts In a Harris Interactive poll of 2250 adults, 42% of the respondents said that they believe in ghosts. Use a 0.01 significance level to test the claim that more than of adults believe in ghosts.

Finding P-Values

In Exercises 13–16, do the following:

i. Identify the hypothesis test as being two-tailed, left-tailed, or right-tailed.

ii. Find the P-value. (See Figure 8-3.)

iii. Using a significance level of α = 0.05 should we reject H0 or should we fail to reject H0?

The test statistic of z = -1.60 is obtained when testing the claim that p ≠ 0.455.

Randomization: Testing a Claim About a Mean

In Exercises 9–12, use the randomization procedure for the indicated exercise.

Section 8-3, Exercise 21 “Lead in Medicine”