뒤로Statistics Exam 2 Review – Step-by-Step Study Guidance
스터디 가이드 - 스마트 노트
자료에 맞춘 맞춤형 노트, 핵심 정의, 예시, 맥락을 확장해 제공합니다.
Q1. Find for the discrete random variable given the probability distribution:
Background
Topic: Probability Distribution for Discrete Random Variables
This question tests your understanding of probability distributions and how to find missing probabilities when the total must sum to 1.
Key Terms and Formulas:
Discrete random variable: Takes on specific, countable values.
Probability distribution: A table showing the probabilities for each possible value of .
Sum of probabilities:
Step-by-Step Guidance
Write out all the given probabilities for : , , , , , .
Recall that the sum of all probabilities must equal 1: .
Add up all the known probabilities.
Set up the equation to solve for by subtracting the sum of the known probabilities from 1.
Try solving on your own before revealing the answer!
Final Answer:
Adding the known probabilities: . So .
This ensures the total probability sums to 1, as required for a valid probability distribution.
Q2. Probability of customers buying another Micron PC (binomial probability)
Background
Topic: Binomial Probability
This question tests your ability to use the binomial probability formula to calculate probabilities for a fixed number of trials with two possible outcomes (success/failure).
Key Terms and Formulas:
Binomial probability formula:
= number of trials (here, 4 customers)
= probability of success (here, 0.88)
= number of successes
Step-by-Step Guidance
For part (a), identify , , (all four buy again).
Plug these values into the binomial formula: .
For part (b), (none buy again): .
For part (c), (exactly one buys again): .
Set up each calculation, but stop before computing the final values.
Try solving on your own before revealing the answer!
Final Answers:
(a)
(b)
(c)
These probabilities show that it's very likely all four will buy again, and very unlikely none or only one will.
Q3. Find , , and ; Are A and B independent?
Background
Topic: Probability Rules and Independence
This question tests your understanding of probability rules for unions, intersections, complements, and independence.
Key Terms and Formulas:
Events are independent if
Step-by-Step Guidance
Write down the given probabilities: , , .
Calculate using the formula: .
Calculate using .
For independence, compare to .
Set up the calculations, but stop before the final numeric answers.
Try solving on your own before revealing the answer!
Final Answers:
For independence: , which is not equal to . So A and B are not independent.
Q4. Probability calculations for events A and B in a sample space of dice rolls
Background
Topic: Probability, Sample Space, Conditional Probability, Mutual Exclusivity, Independence
This question tests your ability to calculate probabilities for events, unions, intersections, conditional probabilities, and to determine mutual exclusivity and independence.
Key Terms and Formulas:
Sample space: All possible outcomes (here, 1–6).
: Probability of event A.
: Probability of event B.
: Probability of A or B.
: Probability of both A and B.
Conditional probability:
Mutually exclusive:
Independent:
Step-by-Step Guidance
List the elements of A and B: , .
Calculate : Number of elements in A divided by total outcomes.
Calculate : Number of elements in B divided by total outcomes.
Find and .
Set up and using the conditional probability formula.
Check if is empty for mutual exclusivity, and compare to for independence.
Try solving on your own before revealing the answer!
Final Answers:
, so
, so
They are not mutually exclusive (intersection is not empty), and not independent ().
Q5. Probability of drawing two cards: both aces, or same value
Background
Topic: Probability with Combinatorics
This question tests your ability to calculate probabilities using combinations for drawing cards from a deck.
Key Terms and Formulas:
Number of ways to choose 2 cards:
Number of ways to choose 2 aces:
Number of ways to choose 2 cards of same value: , then multiply by 13 values.
Probability:
Step-by-Step Guidance
Calculate total ways to choose 2 cards: .
For both aces: ways to choose 2 aces.
Set up probability for both aces: .
For same value: For each value, ways; there are 13 values.
Set up probability for same value: .
Try solving on your own before revealing the answer!
Final Answers:
(a) Probability both aces:
(b) Probability same value:
There are 6 ways to choose 2 aces, and 78 ways to choose 2 cards of the same value.
Q6. Probability for lifetime of electrical part (normal distribution)
Background
Topic: Normal Distribution, Probability Calculations
This question tests your ability to use the normal distribution to find probabilities and percentiles.
Key Terms and Formulas:
Mean (): 100 hours
Standard deviation (): 20 hours
Z-score:
Probability: Use standard normal table for
Percentile: Find such that
Step-by-Step Guidance
For each part, calculate the -score for the relevant value(s).
For part (a):
For part (b): Find for 98 and 104, then calculate .
For part (c): , then find .
For part (d): Find corresponding to the 99th percentile, then solve for .
Try solving on your own before revealing the answer!
Final Answers:
(a)
(b)
(c)
(d) 99th percentile: hours
These are found using the standard normal table and the z-score formula.
Q7. Probability for number of Hondas made in North America (binomial distribution)
Background
Topic: Binomial Probability
This question tests your ability to use the binomial distribution for probabilities involving a fixed number of trials and a given probability of success.
Key Terms and Formulas:
Binomial probability:
,
For cumulative probabilities, sum over relevant values.
Step-by-Step Guidance
For part (a): Calculate by summing for to $13$.
For part (b): Calculate by summing for to $13$.
For part (c): Calculate using the binomial formula.
Set up the calculations, but stop before computing the final values.
Try solving on your own before revealing the answer!
Final Answers:
(a)
(b)
(c)
These are calculated using the binomial formula and/or a binomial calculator.
Q8. Construct a 90% confidence interval for the proportion of likely voters for GOP candidate
Background
Topic: Confidence Interval for Proportion
This question tests your ability to construct a confidence interval for a population proportion using sample data.
Key Terms and Formulas:
Sample proportion:
Standard error:
Critical value for 90% confidence:
Confidence interval:
Step-by-Step Guidance
Calculate sample proportion: .
Calculate standard error: .
Find the critical value for 90% confidence ().
Set up the confidence interval formula: .
Interpret the interval in context, but stop before calculating the final interval.
Try solving on your own before revealing the answer!
Final Answer:
Sample proportion:
Standard error:
Confidence interval:
This interval suggests the proportion of likely voters for the GOP candidate is between 57.5% and 62.7%. Since the interval is above 50%, it suggests the candidate is likely to win.
Q9. Human body temperature: percentage considered fever, and cutoff for top 5%
Background
Topic: Normal Distribution, Percentiles
This question tests your ability to use the normal distribution to find probabilities and cutoff values.
Key Terms and Formulas:
Mean (): 98.2°F
Standard deviation (): 0.62°F
Z-score:
Use standard normal table for probabilities
Step-by-Step Guidance
For part (a): Calculate for 100.6°F.
Find using the standard normal table.
For part (b): Find such that (top 5%).
Use the inverse normal table to find the cutoff temperature.
Try solving on your own before revealing the answer!
Final Answers:
(a) , so (0.01%)
(b) For top 5%, , so °F
Very few healthy people would be considered to have a fever at 100.6°F, so the cutoff may be too high.
Q10. Probability for sample proportion of Cat People (normal approximation)
Background
Topic: Sampling Distribution of Proportion, Normal Approximation
This question tests your ability to use the normal approximation for the sampling distribution of a proportion.
Key Terms and Formulas:
Population proportion:
Sample size:
Standard error:
Z-score:
Use normal table for probabilities
Step-by-Step Guidance
Calculate .
For part (a): Find for .
For part (b): Find for .
Use the normal table to find the probabilities for each .
Try solving on your own before revealing the answer!
Final Answers:
(a) , so
(b) , so
These probabilities are found using the normal approximation for the sampling distribution.
Q11. Definitions: Sample space, mutually exclusive events, independent events, complement, confidence level, critical value, margin of error, standard error, expected value and variance, continuous/discrete random variable/distribution
Background
Topic: Fundamental Concepts in Probability and Statistics
This question tests your understanding of key definitions and concepts in statistics.
Key Terms and Formulas:
Sample space: Set of all possible outcomes.
Mutually exclusive events: Events that cannot occur together.
Independent events: Events where occurrence of one does not affect the other.
Complement: is the event that A does not occur.
Confidence level: Probability that the interval contains the true parameter.
Critical value: Value from the distribution corresponding to the desired confidence.
Margin of error:
Standard error: Standard deviation of a sampling distribution.
Expected value:
Variance:
Continuous random variable: Can take any value in an interval.
Discrete random variable: Takes countable values.
Continuous probability distribution: Probability density function.
Discrete probability distribution: Probability mass function.
Step-by-Step Guidance
Review each definition and formula listed above.
Write out your own examples for each term to reinforce understanding.
For expected value and variance, practice with a simple probability distribution.
For continuous/discrete variables, think of real-world examples.
Try writing your own definitions and examples before revealing the answer!
Final Answers:
Sample space: The set of all possible outcomes of an experiment.
Mutually exclusive events: Events that cannot happen at the same time.
Independent events: Events where the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of the other.
Complement of an event: The event that the original event does not occur.
Confidence level: The probability that a confidence interval contains the true parameter.
Critical value: The value from a statistical distribution that marks the boundary for a desired confidence level.
Margin of error: The maximum expected difference between the true parameter and the estimate, calculated as .
Standard error: The standard deviation of a sampling distribution.
Expected value: , the mean of a random variable.
Variance: , the spread of a random variable.
Continuous random variable: Can take any value within a range.
Discrete random variable: Takes specific, countable values.
Continuous probability distribution: Describes probabilities for continuous variables (e.g., normal distribution).
Discrete probability distribution: Describes probabilities for discrete variables (e.g., binomial distribution).