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Ch. 3 - Probability
Larson - Elementary Statistics: Picturing the World 8th Edition
Larson8th EditionElementary Statistics: Picturing the WorldISBN: 9780137493470Not the one you use?Change textbook
Chapter 3, Problem 3.1.2b

2. Determine whether each number could represent the probability of an event. Explain your reasoning. b. 333.3%

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1
Step 1: Recall the definition of probability. Probability is a measure of the likelihood of an event occurring, and it is always expressed as a value between 0 and 1 (inclusive), where 0 represents an impossible event and 1 represents a certain event.
Step 2: Convert the given percentage (333.3%) into a decimal form by dividing it by 100. This gives 333.3% = 333.3 / 100 = 3.333.
Step 3: Compare the converted decimal value (3.333) to the valid range of probabilities, which is [0, 1]. If the value lies outside this range, it cannot represent a probability.
Step 4: Since 3.333 is greater than 1, it falls outside the valid range for probabilities. This means that 333.3% cannot represent the probability of an event.
Step 5: Conclude that probabilities must always be between 0% and 100% (or equivalently, 0 and 1 in decimal form). Any value outside this range is invalid as a probability.

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Key Concepts

Here are the essential concepts you must grasp in order to answer the question correctly.

Probability Range

Probability is a measure of the likelihood of an event occurring, and it is always expressed as a value between 0 and 1, or as a percentage between 0% and 100%. A probability of 0 means the event will not occur, while a probability of 1 (or 100%) means it will certainly occur. Any value outside this range, such as 333.3%, is not a valid probability.
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Percentage Representation

Percentages are a way to express a number as a fraction of 100. When discussing probabilities, percentages help to convey the likelihood of an event in a more intuitive manner. For example, a probability of 0.5 can be expressed as 50%. However, if a percentage exceeds 100%, it indicates an impossible scenario in the context of probability.
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Interpretation of Probabilities

Understanding how to interpret probabilities is crucial in statistics. Probabilities should reflect the chance of an event occurring based on the total possible outcomes. If a probability is greater than 100%, it suggests that the event is more than certain, which is logically inconsistent and indicates a misunderstanding of probability principles.
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Related Practice
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