Interpreting a Graph The accompanying graph plots the numbers of points scored in each Super Bowl from the first Super Bowl in 1967 (coded as year 1) to the last Super Bowl at the time of this writing. The graph of the quadratic equation that best fits the data is also shown in red. What feature of the graph justifies the value of R^2 = 0.205 for the quadratic model?
Testing Hypotheses About Regression Coefficients If the coefficient has a nonzero value, then it is helpful in predicting the value of the response variable. If it is not helpful in predicting the value of the response variable and can be eliminated from the regression equation. To test the claim that use the test statistic Critical values or P-values can be found using the t distribution with degrees of freedom, where k is the number of predictor variables and n is the number of observations in the sample. The standard error is often provided by software. For example, see the accompanying StatCrunch display for Example 1, which shows that (found in the column with the heading of “Std. Err.” and the row corresponding to the first predictor variable of height). Use the sample data in Data Set 1 “Body Data” and the StatCrunch display to test the claim that Also test the claim that What do the results imply about the regression equation?

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Key Concepts
Hypothesis Testing
P-value
Standard Error
Sum of Squares Criterion In addition to the value of another measurement used to assess the quality of a model is the sum of squares of the residuals. Recall from Section 10-2 that a residual is (the difference between an observed y value and the value predicted from the model). Better models have smaller sums of squares. Refer to the U.S. population data in Table 10-7.
a. Find the sum of squares of the residuals resulting from the linear model.
Finding the Best Model
In Exercises 5–16, construct a scatterplot and identify the mathematical model that best fits the given data. Assume that the model is to be used only for the scope of the given data, and consider only linear, quadratic, logarithmic, exponential, and power models.
Population Growth Here are the values of the world population (billions) beginning with the year 2000:
Finding the Best Model
In Exercises 5–16, construct a scatterplot and identify the mathematical model that best fits the given data. Assume that the model is to be used only for the scope of the given data, and consider only linear, quadratic, logarithmic, exponential, and power models.
Earthquakes Listed below are earthquake depths (km) and magnitudes (Richter scale) of different earthquakes. Find the best model and then predict the magnitude for the last earthquake with a depth of 3.78 km. Is the predicted value close to the actual magnitude of 7.1?
Garbage: Finding the Best Multiple Regression Equation
In Exercises 9–12, refer to the accompanying table, which was obtained by using the data from 62 households listed in Data Set 42 “Garbage Weight” in Appendix B. The response (y) variable is PLAS (weight of discarded plastic in pounds). The predictor (x) variables are METAL (weight of discarded metals in pounds), PAPER (weight of discarded paper in pounds), and GLASS (weight of discarded glass in pounds).
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If exactly two predictor (x) variables are to be used to predict the weight of discarded plastic, which two variables should be chosen? Why?
Interpreting R^2 For the multiple regression equation given in Exercise 1, we get R^2 = 0.897. What does that value tell us?
