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Ch. 6 - Confidence Intervals
Larson - Elementary Statistics: Picturing the World 8th Edition
Larson8th EditionElementary Statistics: Picturing the WorldISBN: 9780137493470Not the one you use?Change textbook
Chapter 6, Problem 6.1.48

Determining a Minimum Sample Size Determine the minimum sample size required when you want to be 99% confident that the sample mean is within two units of the population mean and σ = 1.4. Assume the population is normally distributed.

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Identify the formula for determining the minimum sample size for estimating a population mean: n = ( zα/2)σ )^2, where zα/2 is the critical z-value, σ is the population standard deviation, and E is the margin of error.
Determine the critical z-value for a 99% confidence level. Since the confidence level is 99%, the significance level α is 0.01, and α2 is 0.005. Use a z-table or statistical software to find the z-value corresponding to a cumulative probability of 0.995.
Substitute the given values into the formula. Here, σ = 1.4 and E = 2. The formula becomes: n = ( zα/2·1.4 / 2 )^2.
Simplify the expression inside the parentheses by multiplying the critical z-value by the standard deviation and dividing by the margin of error.
Square the result from the previous step to calculate the minimum sample size. If the result is not a whole number, always round up to the nearest integer, as sample size must be an integer.

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Key Concepts

Here are the essential concepts you must grasp in order to answer the question correctly.

Sample Size Determination

Sample size determination is the process of calculating the number of observations needed in a sample to achieve a desired level of confidence and precision. It is crucial in statistics to ensure that the sample accurately reflects the population, allowing for valid inferences. The formula often used involves the desired confidence level, the population standard deviation, and the margin of error.
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Confidence Level

The confidence level represents the probability that the sample mean will fall within a specified range of the population mean. In this case, a 99% confidence level indicates that if we were to take many samples, 99% of the time, the sample mean would be within two units of the true population mean. This concept is essential for understanding the reliability of the sample estimates.
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Margin of Error

The margin of error is the range within which the true population parameter is expected to lie, given a certain level of confidence. In this scenario, a margin of error of two units means that the sample mean should be within two units of the population mean. This concept is vital for determining how precise the sample estimate needs to be in relation to the population parameter.
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Related Practice
Textbook Question

Finding Critical Values for χ2 In Exercises 3–8, find the critical values χR2 and χL2 for the level of confidence c and sample size n.

c = 0.98, n = 26

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Textbook Question

Translating Statements In Exercises 29–34, translate the statement into a confidence interval. Approximate the level of confidence.

In a survey of 1052 parents of children ages 8–14, 68% say they are willing to get a second or part-time job to pay for their children’s college education, and 42% say they lose sleep worrying about college costs. The survey’s margin of error is ±3%. (Source: T. Rowe Price Group, Inc.)

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Textbook Question

Translating Statements In Exercises 29–34, translate the statement into a confidence interval. Approximate the level of confidence.

In a survey of 1502 U.S. adults, 31% said that they use Pinterest. The survey’s margin of error is ±2.9%. (Source: Pew Research Center)

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Textbook Question

In Exercises 9–12, construct the indicated confidence intervals for (a) the population variance and (b) the population standard deviation . Assume the sample is from a normally distributed population.

c = 0.95, s^2 = 11.56, n = 30

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Textbook Question

Finding p^ and q^ In Exercises 3–6, let p be the population proportion for the situation. Find point estimates of p and q.

Social Security In a survey of 661 non-retired Americans, 218 said that they expect to rely on Social Security as major source of income when they retire. (Adapted from Gallup)

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Textbook Question

For the same sample statistics, which level of confidence would produce the widest confidence interval? Explain your reasoning.

a. 90%

b. 95%

c. 98%

d. 99%

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