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Ch. 10 - Correlation and Regression
Triola - Elementary Statistics 14th Edition
Triola14th EditionElementary StatisticsISBN: 9780137366446Not the one you use?Change textbook
Chapter 10, Problem 10.5.5

Finding the Best Model
In Exercises 5–16, construct a scatterplot and identify the mathematical model that best fits the given data. Assume that the model is to be used only for the scope of the given data, and consider only linear, quadratic, logarithmic, exponential, and power models.
Landing on the Moon When the Apollo spacecraft landed on the Moon, the rocket engine would typically cut off at about 1.3 meters above the surface so that hot gases and dust and other surface materials would not cause damage. The landing module was in freefall starting at about 1 meter above the surface. The table below lists the time t (seconds) after being dropped and the distance d (meters) travelled by an object dropped near the surface of the Moon.
Table showing time in seconds and distance in meters for an object dropped near the Moon's surface.

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Step 1: Construct a scatterplot by plotting the given data points with time \(t\) on the x-axis and distance \(d\) on the y-axis. This visual representation will help identify the pattern or trend in the data.
Step 2: Observe the shape of the scatterplot to hypothesize which type of model might fit best. For example, if the points form a straight line, a linear model might be appropriate; if the points curve upward or downward, consider quadratic, exponential, logarithmic, or power models.
Step 3: Test each candidate model by fitting the data to the corresponding mathematical equation: - Linear: \(d = a t + b\) - Quadratic: \(d = a t^2 + b t + c\) - Exponential: \(d = a e^{b t}\) - Logarithmic: \(d = a \ln(t) + b\) - Power: \(d = a t^b\)
Step 4: Calculate or estimate the parameters (\(a\), \(b\), \(c\)) for each model using methods such as least squares regression or transformation of variables (e.g., taking logarithms for exponential or power models).
Step 5: Compare the goodness of fit for each model by examining residuals, \(R^2\) values, or other fit statistics to determine which model best describes the data within the given range of \(t\).

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Key Concepts

Here are the essential concepts you must grasp in order to answer the question correctly.

Scatterplot Construction

A scatterplot is a graphical representation of data points on a coordinate plane, showing the relationship between two variables. Plotting time (t) on the x-axis and distance (d) on the y-axis helps visualize the pattern or trend in the data, which is essential for selecting an appropriate model.
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Scatterplots & Intro to Correlation

Types of Mathematical Models

Common models include linear, quadratic, logarithmic, exponential, and power models. Each describes different relationships: linear shows constant rate, quadratic shows acceleration, logarithmic grows slowly, exponential grows rapidly, and power models follow a specific polynomial form. Choosing the best fit depends on the data pattern.
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Types of Data

Model Fitting and Interpretation

Model fitting involves matching a mathematical equation to the data points to describe their relationship accurately. The best model minimizes errors and reflects the physical context, such as freefall motion on the Moon, where distance often relates to time squared, suggesting a quadratic model.
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Goodness of Fit Test
Related Practice
Textbook Question

Interpreting R^2 For the multiple regression equation given in Exercise 1, we get R^2 = 0.897. What does that value tell us?

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Textbook Question

se Notation Using Data Set 1 “Body Data” in Appendix B, if we let the predictor variable x represent heights of males and let the response variable y represent weights of males, the sample of 153 heights and weights results in se = 16.27555 cm. In your own words, describe what that value of se represents.

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Textbook Question

Interpreting r

In Exercises 5–8, use a significance level of α = 0.05 and refer to the accompanying displays.

Bear Weight and Chest Size Fifty-four wild bears were anesthetized, and then their weights and chest sizes were measured and listed in Data Set 18 “Bear Measurements” in Appendix B; results are shown in the accompanying Statdisk display. Is there sufficient evidence to support the claim that there is a linear correlation between the weights of bears and their chest sizes? When measuring an anesthetized bear, is it easier to measure chest size than weight? If so, does it appear that a measured chest size can be used to predict the weight?

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Textbook Question

Testing for a Linear Correlation

In Exercises 13–28, construct a scatterplot, and find the value of the linear correlation coefficient r. Also find the P-value or the critical values of r from Table A-6. Use a significance level of α = 0.05. Determine whether there is sufficient evidence to support a claim of a linear correlation between the two variables. (Save your work because the same data sets will be used in Section 10-2 exercises.)

Taxis Using the data from Exercise 15, is there sufficient evidence to support the claim that there is a linear correlation between the distance of the ride and the fare (cost of the ride)?

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Textbook Question

Garbage: Finding the Best Multiple Regression Equation

In Exercises 9–12, refer to the accompanying table, which was obtained by using the data from 62 households listed in Data Set 42 “Garbage Weight” in Appendix B. The response (y) variable is PLAS (weight of discarded plastic in pounds). The predictor (x) variables are METAL (weight of discarded metals in pounds), PAPER (weight of discarded paper in pounds), and GLASS (weight of discarded glass in pounds).

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If only one predictor (x) variable is used to predict the weight of discarded plastic, which single variable is best? Why?

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Textbook Question

Finding a Prediction Interval

In Exercises 13–16, use the following paired data consisting of weights of large cars (pounds) and highway fuel consumption (mi/gal) from Data Set 35 “Car Data” in Appendix B. (These are the same data used in Exercises 9-12.) Let x represent the weight of the car and let y represent the corresponding highway fuel consumption. Use the given weight and the given confidence level to construct a prediction interval estimate of highway fuel consumption.

Cars Use x = 3800 pounds with a 99% confidence level.

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