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Ch. 10 - Correlation and Regression
Triola - Elementary Statistics 14th Edition
Triola14th EditionElementary StatisticsISBN: 9780137366446Not the one you use?Change textbook
Chapter 10, Problem 10.3.9

Interpreting a Computer Display
In Exercises 9–12, refer to the display obtained by using the paired data consisting of weights (pounds) and highway fuel consumption amounts (mi/gal) of the large cars included in Data Set 35 “Car Data” in Appendix B. Along with the paired weights and fuel consumption amounts, StatCrunch was also given the value of 4000 pounds to be used for predicting highway fuel consumption.


StatCrunch output showing correlation analysis between car weights and highway fuel consumption, with predicted values for 4000 pounds.


Testing for Correlation Use the information provided in the display to determine the value of the linear correlation coefficient. Is there sufficient evidence to support a claim of a linear correlation between weights of large cars and the highway fuel consumption amounts?

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Step 1: Identify the linear correlation coefficient (R) from the display. The value of R is provided as -0.78762826. This coefficient measures the strength and direction of the linear relationship between the weights of large cars and their highway fuel consumption.
Step 2: Interpret the value of R. Since R is negative, it indicates an inverse relationship, meaning as the weight of the cars increases, the highway fuel consumption tends to decrease. The magnitude of R (close to -1) suggests a strong linear relationship.
Step 3: Determine the significance of the correlation. To test if the correlation is statistically significant, you would typically use a hypothesis test for the correlation coefficient. The null hypothesis states that there is no linear correlation (R = 0), while the alternative hypothesis states that there is a linear correlation (R ≠ 0).
Step 4: Use the sample size (n = 12) and the value of R to calculate the test statistic for the correlation coefficient. The formula for the test statistic is t = R * sqrt((n - 2) / (1 - R^2)). This test statistic can then be compared to the critical t-value from the t-distribution table with degrees of freedom df = n - 2.
Step 5: Based on the test statistic and the critical t-value, determine whether to reject the null hypothesis. If the test statistic exceeds the critical value, there is sufficient evidence to support the claim of a linear correlation between weights of large cars and highway fuel consumption.

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Key Concepts

Here are the essential concepts you must grasp in order to answer the question correctly.

Linear Correlation Coefficient (R)

The linear correlation coefficient, denoted as R, measures the strength and direction of a linear relationship between two variables. Values range from -1 to 1, where -1 indicates a perfect negative correlation, 1 indicates a perfect positive correlation, and 0 indicates no correlation. In this case, R = -0.7876 suggests a strong negative correlation between car weights and highway fuel consumption.
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Prediction and Confidence Intervals

Prediction involves estimating the value of a dependent variable based on the value of an independent variable using a regression model. The confidence interval (C.I.) provides a range of values within which we expect the mean of the dependent variable to fall, while the prediction interval (P.I.) gives a range for individual future observations. The output shows a predicted fuel consumption of approximately 28.99 mpg for a car weighing 4000 pounds, with associated intervals for mean and new predictions.
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Coefficient of Determination (R-squared)

R-squared (R²) quantifies the proportion of variance in the dependent variable that can be explained by the independent variable in a regression model. It ranges from 0 to 1, with higher values indicating a better fit. In this case, R² = 0.6204 suggests that about 62.04% of the variability in highway fuel consumption can be explained by the weight of the cars, indicating a moderate level of explanatory power.
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Related Practice
Textbook Question

Regression and Predictions

Exercises 13–28 use the same data sets as Exercises 13–28 in Section 10-1.


Find the regression equation, letting the first variable be the predictor (x) variable.

Find the indicated predicted value by following the prediction procedure summarized in Figure 10-5.


Taxis Use the distance/fare data from Exercise 15 and find the best predicted fare amount for a distance of 3.10 miles. How does the result compare to the actual fare of \$15.30?

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Textbook Question

Appendix B Data Sets

In Exercises 29–32, use the data from Appendix B to construct a scatterplot, find the value of the linear correlation coefficient r, and find either the P-value or the critical values of r from Table A-6 using a significance level of α = 0.05. Determine whether there is sufficient evidence to support the claim of a linear correlation between the two variables.

Taxis Repeat Exercise 15 using all of the time/tip data from the 703 taxi rides listed in Data Set 32 “Taxis” from Appendix B. Compare the results to those found in Exercise 15.

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Textbook Question

Best-Fit Line


What is a residual?

In what sense is the regression line the straight line that “best” fits the points in a scatterplot?

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Textbook Question

Interpreting a Computer Display

In Exercises 9–12, refer to the display obtained by using the paired data consisting of weights (pounds) and highway fuel consumption amounts (mi/gal) of the large cars included in Data Set 35 “Car Data” in Appendix B. Along with the paired weights and fuel consumption amounts, StatCrunch was also given the value of 4000 pounds to be used for predicting highway fuel consumption.


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Predicting Highway Fuel Consumption Using a car weight of x = 4000 (pounds), what is the single value that is the best predicted amount of highway fuel consumption?

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Textbook Question

Finding the Best Model

In Exercises 5–16, construct a scatterplot and identify the mathematical model that best fits the given data. Assume that the model is to be used only for the scope of the given data, and consider only linear, quadratic, logarithmic, exponential, and power models.

Sound Intensity The table lists intensities of sounds as multiples of a basic reference sound. A scale similar to the decibel scale is used to measure the sound intensity.

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Textbook Question

Randomization

For Exercises 33–36, repeat the indicated exercise using the resampling method of randomization.

Powerball Jackpots and Tickets Sold Exercise 14

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