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Ch. 4 - Probability
Triola - Elementary Statistics 14th Edition
Triola14th EditionElementary StatisticsISBN: 9780137366446Not the one you use?Change textbook
Chapter 4, Problem 4.2.25a

Redundancy in Computer Hard Drives It is generally recognized that it is wise to backup computer data. Assume that the following refer to use of Western Digital model WD60EFRX hard drives, which have an annual failure rate of 3.66% (based on data from Backblaze, Inc.).
a. If you store all of your computer data on a single hard drive, what is the probability that the drive will fail during a year?

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1
Step 1: Understand the problem. The problem asks for the probability that a single hard drive will fail during a year. The annual failure rate of the hard drive is given as 3.66%, which can be expressed as a decimal (0.0366).
Step 2: Recall the concept of probability. The probability of an event occurring is the likelihood of that event happening, expressed as a value between 0 and 1. In this case, the failure rate (3.66%) directly represents the probability of failure for a single hard drive in a year.
Step 3: Convert the percentage to a decimal. To use the failure rate in calculations, divide the percentage by 100. For example, 3.66% becomes 0.0366.
Step 4: Interpret the result. The value 0.0366 represents the probability that the hard drive will fail during a year. This is the final probability for this specific scenario.
Step 5: Note that no further calculations are needed since the failure rate is already provided as the probability. Ensure you understand that this probability applies to a single hard drive over the course of one year.

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Key Concepts

Here are the essential concepts you must grasp in order to answer the question correctly.

Probability of Failure

The probability of failure refers to the likelihood that a specific event, such as a hard drive malfunction, will occur within a given time frame. In this context, the annual failure rate of 3.66% indicates that there is a 3.66% chance that the hard drive will fail within one year. Understanding this concept is crucial for assessing risk and making informed decisions about data storage.
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Annual Failure Rate

The annual failure rate (AFR) is a statistical measure that quantifies the percentage of devices expected to fail over the course of a year. For the Western Digital model WD60EFRX hard drives, an AFR of 3.66% means that, on average, approximately 3.66 out of every 100 drives will fail each year. This metric helps users evaluate the reliability of storage solutions and plan for data redundancy.
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Data Redundancy

Data redundancy is a strategy used to protect data by storing copies in multiple locations or on multiple devices. This approach mitigates the risk of data loss due to hardware failure, as it ensures that if one hard drive fails, the data can still be accessed from another source. Understanding data redundancy is essential for effective data management and safeguarding against potential failures.
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Related Practice
Textbook Question

Corporate Officers and Committees The Self Driving Unicycle Company was recently successfully funded via Kickstarter and must now appoint a president, chief executive officer (CEO), chief operating officer (COO), and chief financial officer (CFO), and chief human resources officer (CHR). It must also appoint a strategic planning committee with five different members. There are 15 qualified candidates, and officers can also serve on the committee.


a. How many different ways can the five officers be appointed?

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Textbook Question

Phase I of a Clinical Trial A clinical test on humans of a new drug is normally done in three phases. Phase I is conducted with a relatively small number of healthy volunteers. For example, a phase I test of bexarotene involved only 14 subjects. Assume that we want to treat 14 healthy humans with this new drug and we have 16 suitable volunteers available.


a. If the subjects are selected and treated one at a time in sequence, how many different sequential arrangements are possible if 14 people are selected from the 16 that are available?


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Textbook Question

Denomination Effect

In Exercises 13–16, use the data in the following table. In an experiment to study the effects of using four quarters versus a \$1 bill, some college students were given four quarters and others were given a \$1 bill, and they could either keep the money or spend it on gum. The results are summarized in the table (based on data from “The Denomination Effect,” by Priya Raghubir and Joydeep Srivastava, Journal of Consumer Research, Vol. 36).



Denomination Effect


a. Find the probability of randomly selecting a student who spent the money, given that the student was given four quarters.


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Textbook Question

Surge Protectors Refer to the accompanying figure showing surge protectors p and q used to protect an expensive television. If there is a surge in the voltage, the surge protector reduces it to a safe level. Assume that each surge protector has a 0.985 probability of working correctly when a voltage surge occurs.


a. If the two surge protectors are arranged in series, what is the probability that a voltage surge will not damage the television? (Do not round the answer.)

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Textbook Question

Redundancy in Computer Hard Drives The Seagate ST8000NM0055 hard drive has a 1.22% rate of failures in a year (based on data from Backblaze, Inc.). For the following, assume that all hard drives are that Seagate model.


a. If all of your computer data are stored on a hard disk drive with a copy stored on a second hard disk drive, what is the probability that during a year, you can avoid catastrophe with at least one working drive? Express the result with six decimal places.

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Textbook Question

In Exercises 21-28, find the probability and answer the questions.


X-Linked Genetic Disease Men have XY (or YX) chromosomes and women have XX chromosomes. X-linked recessive genetic diseases (such as juvenile retinoschisis) occur when there is a defective X chromosome that occurs without a paired X chromosome that is not defective. In the following, represent a defective X chromosome with lowercase x, so a child with the xY or Yx pair of chromosomes will have the disease and a child with XX or XY or YX or xX or Xx will not have the disease. Each parent contributes one of the chromosomes to the child.


a. If a father has the defective x chromosome and the mother has good XX chromosomes, what is the probability that a son will inherit the disease?

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