In hypothesis testing, the process begins with formulating two statements: the null hypothesis (H0) and the alternative hypothesis (Ha). The null hypothesis typically represents a statement of no effect or no difference, while the alternative hypothesis reflects the claim being tested. For instance, if a lighting company claims that their LED bulbs last an average of 25,000 hours, the null hypothesis would be H0: μ = 25,000. If an agency suspects that the actual lifespan is lower, the alternative hypothesis would be Ha: μ < 25,000.
To conduct the test, we calculate the test statistic using the known population standard deviation (σ). In this case, the population standard deviation is 1,200 hours, and a random sample of 36 bulbs yields a sample mean (x̄) of 24,600 hours. The formula for the z-test statistic when the population standard deviation is known is given by:
\[ z = \frac{x̄ - μ}{\frac{σ}{\sqrt{n}}} \]
Substituting the values, we have:
\[ z = \frac{24,600 - 25,000}{\frac{1,200}{\sqrt{36}}} = \frac{-400}{200} = -2.00 \]
This z-score indicates how many standard deviations the sample mean is from the hypothesized population mean. Next, we convert this z-score into a p-value, which represents the probability of observing a sample mean as extreme as the one obtained, assuming the null hypothesis is true. For a one-tailed test where Ha: μ < 25,000, we look for the area to the left of z = -2.00. Using a z-table or calculator, we find that the p-value is approximately 0.023.
To make a decision, we compare the p-value to the significance level (α), which in this case is set at 0.1. Since 0.023 < 0.1, we reject the null hypothesis. This suggests that there is sufficient evidence to support the claim that the true mean lifespan of the bulbs is less than 25,000 hours.
When conducting hypothesis tests, it is crucial to ensure that certain conditions are met: the sample must be random, the population from which the sample is drawn should be normally distributed, or the sample size should be greater than 30 to invoke the Central Limit Theorem. In this scenario, both conditions were satisfied, as the distribution of bulb lifespans was normal and the sample size was 36.
In summary, hypothesis testing involves formulating hypotheses, calculating a test statistic, determining a p-value, and making a decision based on the comparison of the p-value to the significance level. This structured approach allows researchers to draw conclusions about population parameters based on sample data.
