Heights of Presidents Refer to Data Set 22 “Presidents” in Appendix B. Treat the data as a sample and find the proportion of presidents who were taller than their opponents. Use that result to construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population percentage. Based on the result, does it appear that greater height is an advantage for presidential candidates? Why or why not?
8. Sampling Distributions & Confidence Intervals: Proportion
Confidence Intervals for Population Proportion
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Wiggle Your Ears Find the sample size needed to estimate the percentage of adults who can wiggle their ears. Use a margin of error of 3 percentage points and use a confidence level of 99%.
b. Assume that 22% of adults can wiggle their ears (based on data from Soul Publishing).
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Touch Your Nose With Your Tongue Find the sample size needed to estimate the percentage of adults who can touch their nose with their tongue. Use a margin of error of 2 percentage points and use a confidence level of 90%.
b. Assume that a previous study showed that 10% of adults can touch their nose with their tongue (based on data from Onedio).
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E-Cigarettes A New York Times article reported that a survey conducted in 2014 included 36,000 adults, with 3.7% of them being regular users of e-cigarettes. Because e-cigarette use is relatively new, there is a need to obtain today’s usage rate. How many adults must be surveyed now if we want a confidence level of 95% and a margin of error of 1.5 percentage points?
b. Use the results from the 2014 survey.
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E-Cigarettes A New York Times article reported that a survey conducted in 2014 included 36,000 adults, with 3.7% of them being regular users of e-cigarettes. Because e-cigarette use is relatively new, there is a need to obtain today’s usage rate. How many adults must be surveyed now if we want a confidence level of 95% and a margin of error of 1.5 percentage points?
c. Does the use of the result from the 2014 survey have much of an effect on the sample size?
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Astrology A sociologist plans to conduct a survey to estimate the percentage of adults who believe in astrology. How many people must be surveyed if we want a confidence level of 99% and a margin of error of four percentage points?
a. Assume that nothing is known about the percentage to be estimated.
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Astrology A sociologist plans to conduct a survey to estimate the percentage of adults who believe in astrology. How many people must be surveyed if we want a confidence level of 99% and a margin of error of four percentage points?
b. Use the information from a previous Harris survey in which 26% of respondents said that they believed in astrology.
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Airline Seating You are the operations manager for American Airlines and you are considering a higher fare level for passengers in aisle seats. You want to estimate the percentage of passengers who now prefer aisle seats. How many randomly selected air passengers must you survey? Assume that you want to be 95% confident that the sample percentage is within 2.5 percentage points of the true population percentage.
a. Assume that nothing is known about the percentage of passengers who prefer aisle seats.
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Online Gambling Some states now allow online gambling. As a marketing manager for a casino, you need to determine the percentage of adults in those states who gamble online. How many adults must you survey in order to be 99% confident that your estimate is in error by no more than two percentage points?
b. Assume that 18% of all adults gamble online (based on 2017 data from a Gambling Commission study in Great Britain).
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Smart Phone Apple is planning for the launch of a new and improved iPhone. The marketing team wants to know the worldwide percentage of consumers who intend to purchase the new model, so a survey is being planned. How many people must be surveyed in order to be 90% confident that the estimated percentage is within three percentage points of the true population percentage?
a. Assume that nothing is known about the worldwide percentage of consumers who intend to buy the new model.
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Smart Phone Apple is planning for the launch of a new and improved iPhone. The marketing team wants to know the worldwide percentage of consumers who intend to purchase the new model, so a survey is being planned. How many people must be surveyed in order to be 90% confident that the estimated percentage is within three percentage points of the true population percentage?
b. Assume that 11% of consumers have a smartphone and plan to upgrade to a new model.
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Smart Phone Apple is planning for the launch of a new and improved iPhone. The marketing team wants to know the worldwide percentage of consumers who intend to purchase the new model, so a survey is being planned. How many people must be surveyed in order to be 90% confident that the estimated percentage is within three percentage points of the true population percentage?
c. Given that the required sample size is relatively small, could you simply survey the people that you know?
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Women Who Give Birth An epidemiologist plans to conduct a survey to estimate the percentage of women who give birth. How many women must be surveyed in order to be 99% confident that the estimated percentage is in error by no more than two percentage points?
c. What is wrong with surveying randomly selected adult women?
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One-Sided Confidence Interval A one-sided claim about a population proportion is a claim that the proportion is less than (or greater than) some specific value. Such a claim can be formally addressed using a one-sided confidence interval for p, which can be expressed as p<p+E or p>p-E, where the margin of error E is modified by replacing za/2 with za. (Instead of dividing between two tails of the standard normal distribution, put all of it in one tail.) The Chapter Problem refers to a Sallie Mae survey of 950 undergraduate students, and 53% of the survey subjects take online courses. Use that data to construct a one-sided 95% confidence interval that would be suitable for helping to determine whether the percentage of all undergraduates who take online courses is greater than 50%.
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E-Cigarettes A New York Times article reported that a survey conducted in 2014 included 36,000 adults, with 3.7% of them being regular users of e-cigarettes. Because e-cigarette use is relatively new, there is a need to obtain today’s usage rate. How many adults must be surveyed now if we want a confidence level of 95% and a margin of error of 1.5 percentage points?
a. Assume that nothing is known about the rate of e-cigarette usage among adults.
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