Interpreting P-value The Ericsson method is one of several methods claimed to increase the likelihood of a baby girl. In a clinical trial, results could be analyzed with a formal hypothesis test with the alternative hypothesis of p > 0.5 which corresponds to the claim that the method increases the likelihood of having a girl, so that the proportion of girls is greater than 0.5. If you have an interest in establishing the success of the method, which of the following P-values would you prefer as a result in your hypothesis test: 0.999, 0.5, 0.95, 0.05, 0.01, 0.001? Why?
Type I and Type II Errors
In Exercises 25–28, provide statements that identify the type I error and the type II error that correspond to the given claim. (Although conclusions are usually expressed in verbal form, the answers here can be expressed with statements that include symbolic expressions such as p = 0.1.)
The proportion of people who write with their left hand is equal to 0.1.
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Key Concepts
Type I Error
Type II Error
Null Hypothesis
Interpreting Power Chantix (varenicline) tablets are used as an aid to help people stop smoking. In a clinical trial, 129 subjects were treated with Chantix twice a day for 12 weeks, and 16 subjects experienced abdominal pain (based on data from Pfizer, Inc.). If someone claims that more than 8% of Chantix users experience abdominal pain, that claim is supported with a hypothesis test conducted with a 0.05 significance level. Using 0.18 as an alternative value of p, the power of the test is 0.96. Interpret this value of the power of the test.
Minting Dollar Coins For the sample data from Exercise 1, we get a P-value of 0.0041 when testing the claim that σ < 0.04000 g.
What should we conclude about the null hypothesis?
What should we conclude about the original claim?
What do these results suggest about the new minting process?
Finding P-Values
In Exercises 13–16, do the following:
i. Identify the hypothesis test as being two-tailed, left-tailed, or right-tailed.
ii. Find the P-value. (See Figure 8-3.)
iii. Using a significance level of α = 0.05 should we reject H0 or should we fail to reject H0?
The test statistic of z = -0.75 is obtained when testing the claim that p<1/3.
Finding P-Values
In Exercises 13–16, do the following:
i. Identify the hypothesis test as being two-tailed, left-tailed, or right-tailed.
ii. Find the P-value. (See Figure 8-3.)
iii. Using a significance level of α = 0.05 should we reject H0 or should we fail to reject H0?
The test statistic of z = -1.60 is obtained when testing the claim that p ≠ 0.455.
Randomization: Testing a Claim About a Mean
In Exercises 9–12, use the randomization procedure for the indicated exercise.
Section 8-3, Exercise 21 “Lead in Medicine”
