Given the following time series data: , , , , , and using the simple exponential smoothing (SES) method with smoothing constant , what is the forecast for the next period (period ) if the initial forecast for period is ?
Table of contents
- 1. Intro to Stats and Collecting Data1h 14m
- 2. Describing Data with Tables and Graphs1h 55m
- 3. Describing Data Numerically2h 5m
- 4. Probability2h 16m
- 5. Binomial Distribution & Discrete Random Variables3h 6m
- 6. Normal Distribution and Continuous Random Variables2h 11m
- 7. Sampling Distributions & Confidence Intervals: Mean3h 23m
- Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean and Central Limit Theorem19m
- Distribution of Sample Mean - Excel23m
- Introduction to Confidence Intervals15m
- Confidence Intervals for Population Mean1h 18m
- Determining the Minimum Sample Size Required12m
- Finding Probabilities and T Critical Values - Excel28m
- Confidence Intervals for Population Means - Excel25m
- 8. Sampling Distributions & Confidence Intervals: Proportion1h 25m
- 9. Hypothesis Testing for One Sample3h 29m
- 10. Hypothesis Testing for Two Samples4h 50m
- Two Proportions1h 13m
- Two Proportions Hypothesis Test - Excel28m
- Two Means - Unknown, Unequal Variance1h 3m
- Two Means - Unknown Variances Hypothesis Test - Excel12m
- Two Means - Unknown, Equal Variance15m
- Two Means - Unknown, Equal Variances Hypothesis Test - Excel9m
- Two Means - Known Variance12m
- Two Means - Sigma Known Hypothesis Test - Excel21m
- Two Means - Matched Pairs (Dependent Samples)42m
- Matched Pairs Hypothesis Test - Excel12m
- 11. Correlation1h 24m
- 12. Regression1h 50m
- 13. Chi-Square Tests & Goodness of Fit2h 21m
- 14. ANOVA1h 57m
7. Sampling Distributions & Confidence Intervals: Mean
Introduction to Confidence Intervals
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Join thousands of students who trust us to help them ace their exams!Watch the first videoMultiple Choice
Which of the following is not true of the confidence level of a confidence interval?
A
A higher results in a wider , all else being equal.
B
The represents the proportion of similarly constructed intervals that would contain the in repeated sampling.
C
Common include , , and .
D
The indicates the probability that the specific calculated interval contains the .
Verified step by step guidance1
Understand the definition of a confidence level: It represents the proportion of confidence intervals, constructed in the same way from repeated samples, that would contain the true population parameter.
Recognize that a higher confidence level means we want to be more certain that the interval contains the parameter, which leads to a wider confidence interval to account for more variability.
Recall common confidence levels used in practice, such as 90%, 95%, and 99%, which reflect different degrees of certainty.
Note that the confidence level does NOT represent the probability that a specific calculated interval contains the population parameter; once the interval is calculated, the parameter either is or is not in that interval.
Therefore, the statement 'The confidence level indicates the probability that the specific calculated interval contains the population parameter' is incorrect because the confidence level refers to the long-run proportion of intervals that contain the parameter, not the probability for a single interval.
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