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Ch. 4 - Probability
Triola - Elementary Statistics 14th Edition
Triola14th EditionElementary StatisticsISBN: 9780137366446Not the one you use?Change textbook
Chapter 4, Problem 4.2.21a

In Exercises 21–24, use these results from the “1-Panel-THC” test for marijuana use, which is provided by the company Drug Test Success: Among 143 subjects with positive test results, there are 24 false positive (incorrect) results; among 157 negative results, there are 3 false negative (incorrect) results. (Hint: Construct a table similar to Table 4-1.)


Testing for Marijuana Use


a. How many subjects are included in the study?

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Step 1: Understand the problem. The problem involves analyzing the results of a drug test for marijuana use. We are tasked with determining the total number of subjects included in the study. The key information provided includes the number of positive and negative test results, as well as the number of false positives and false negatives.
Step 2: Identify the components of the study. There are 143 subjects with positive test results, which include 24 false positives. There are also 157 subjects with negative test results, which include 3 false negatives.
Step 3: Calculate the total number of subjects. The total number of subjects is the sum of all positive test results and all negative test results. Use the formula: Total=Positive+Negative.
Step 4: Substitute the given values into the formula. Replace 'Positive' with 143 and 'Negative' with 157 in the formula: Total=143+157.
Step 5: Conclude the calculation. Add the two values together to find the total number of subjects in the study. This will give you the final answer.

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Key Concepts

Here are the essential concepts you must grasp in order to answer the question correctly.

False Positives and False Negatives

False positives occur when a test incorrectly indicates the presence of a condition, while false negatives occur when a test fails to detect a condition that is present. In the context of drug testing, understanding these terms is crucial for interpreting the accuracy of the test results and assessing the reliability of the testing method.
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Correlation Coefficient

Total Subjects in a Study

The total number of subjects in a study is the sum of all individuals who participated, regardless of their test results. In this case, it includes both those who tested positive and negative for marijuana use, which is essential for calculating overall statistics and understanding the study's scope.
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Contingency Table

A contingency table is a data representation that displays the frequency distribution of variables, allowing for easy comparison of outcomes. In this scenario, constructing a contingency table will help visualize the relationships between test results (positive/negative) and their accuracy (true/false), facilitating a clearer analysis of the data.
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Related Practice
Textbook Question

Florida Pick 3 In the Florida Pick 3 lottery, you can place a “straight” bet of \(1 by selecting the exact order of three digits between 0 and 9 inclusive (with repetition allowed), so the probability of winning is 1/1000. If the same three numbers are drawn in the same order, you collect \)500, so your net profit is \$499.


a. Find the actual odds against winning.

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Textbook Question

Kentucky Derby Odds When the horse Justify won the 144th Kentucky Derby, a \$2 bet on a Justify win resulted in a winning ticket worth \(7.80.


a. How much net profit was made from a \)2 win bet on Justify?

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Textbook Question

Denomination Effect

In Exercises 13–16, use the data in the following table. In an experiment to study the effects of using four quarters versus a \$1 bill, some college students were given four quarters and others were given a \$1 bill, and they could either keep the money or spend it on gum. The results are summarized in the table (based on data from “The Denomination Effect,” by Priya Raghubir and Joydeep Srivastava, Journal of Consumer Research, Vol. 36).



Denomination Effect


a. Find the probability of randomly selecting a student who kept the money, given that the student was given four quarters.

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Textbook Question

ATM You want to obtain cash by using an ATM, but it’s dark and you can’t see your card when you insert it. The card must be inserted with the front side up and the printing configured so that the beginning of your name enters first.


a. What is the probability of selecting a random position and inserting the card with the result that the card is inserted correctly?

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Textbook Question

Finding Odds in Roulette A roulette wheel has 38 slots. One slot is 0, another is 00, and the others are numbered 1 through 36, respectively. You place a bet that the outcome is an odd number.


a. What is your probability of winning?

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Textbook Question

In Exercises 9–20, use the data in the following table, which lists survey results from high school drivers at least 16 years of age (based on data from “Texting While Driving and Other Risky Motor Vehicle Behaviors Among U.S. High School Students,” by O’Malley, Shults, and Eaton, Pediatrics, Vol. 131, No. 6). Assume that subjects are randomly selected from those included in the table. Hint: Be very careful to read the question correctly.

Texting and Alcohol If three of the high school drivers are randomly selected from the 4720 subjects who did not text while driving, find the probability that all three drove when drinking.


a. Assume that the selections are made with replacement. Are the events independent?

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