Standard Tests Standard tests, such as the SAT or ACT or MCAT, tend to make extensive use of multiple-choice questions because they are easy to grade using software. If one such multiple choice question has possible correct answers of a, b, c, d, e, what is the probability of a wrong answer if the answer is a random guess?
ESP A psychologist tells you that in an ESP (extrasensory perception) experiment, there is a 20% chance of answering a question correctly. What is the probability of answering a question correctly?
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Probability
Independent Events
Expected Value
Subjective Probability Estimate the probability that the next time you watch a TV news report, it includes a story about a plane crash.
Vision Correction About 75% of the U.S. population uses some type of vision correction (such as glasses or contact lenses).
d. If you randomly select four people, is a result of all four using vision correction significantly high? Why or why not?
In Exercises 6–10, use the following results from tests of an experiment to test the effectiveness of an experimental vaccine for children (based on data from USA Today). Express all probabilities in decimal form.
If 1 of the 1602 subjects is randomly selected, find the probability of getting 1 that developed flu.
In Exercises 6–10, use the following results from tests of an experiment to test the effectiveness of an experimental vaccine for children (based on data from USA Today). Express all probabilities in decimal form.
If 1 of the 1602 subjects is randomly selected, find the probability of getting 1 who had the vaccine treatment and developed flu.
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b. If a person is randomly selected, find the probability that his or her birthday is in October. Ignore leap years.
