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Ch. 4 - Probability
Triola - Elementary Statistics 14th Edition
Triola14th EditionElementary StatisticsISBN: 9780137366446Not the one you use?Change textbook
Chapter 4, Problem 4.2.14a

In Exercises 9–20, use the data in the following table, which lists survey results from high school drivers at least 16 years of age (based on data from “Texting While Driving and Other Risky Motor Vehicle Behaviors Among U.S. High School Students,” by O’Malley, Shults, and Eaton, Pediatrics, Vol. 131, No. 6). Assume that subjects are randomly selected from those included in the table. Hint: Be very careful to read the question correctly.
"Table of high school drivers: texting vs. drinking behavior, with counts for each category."
Texting While Driving If two of the high school drivers are randomly selected, find the probability that they both texted while driving.
a. Assume that the selections are made with replacement. Are the events independent?

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Step 1: Calculate the total number of high school drivers surveyed. Add all the values in the table: 731 + 3054 + 156 + 4564.
Step 2: Determine the total number of drivers who texted while driving. Add the values in the 'Texted While Driving' row: 731 + 3054.
Step 3: Calculate the probability of selecting one driver who texted while driving. Divide the total number of drivers who texted while driving by the total number of drivers surveyed. Use the formula: P(Texted While Driving) = (Number of drivers who texted while driving) / (Total number of drivers).
Step 4: Since the selections are made with replacement, the probability of selecting two drivers who both texted while driving is the product of the individual probabilities. Use the formula: P(Both Texted While Driving) = P(Texted While Driving) × P(Texted While Driving).
Step 5: Discuss independence. Events are independent if the outcome of one event does not affect the outcome of the other. Since the selections are made with replacement, the events are independent because the first selection does not influence the second.

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Key Concepts

Here are the essential concepts you must grasp in order to answer the question correctly.

Probability

Probability is a measure of the likelihood that a particular event will occur, expressed as a number between 0 and 1. In this context, it involves calculating the chance that both randomly selected high school drivers texted while driving. This requires understanding how to compute probabilities based on the total number of favorable outcomes over the total number of possible outcomes.
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Introduction to Probability

Independent Events

Two events are considered independent if the occurrence of one does not affect the occurrence of the other. In this scenario, if the selections are made with replacement, the probability of the second driver texting while driving remains unchanged regardless of the first driver's behavior. Understanding independence is crucial for correctly calculating the combined probability of both events.
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Probability of Multiple Independent Events

Sampling with Replacement

Sampling with replacement means that after selecting an individual from a population, that individual is returned to the population before the next selection. This method ensures that each selection is made from the same total population, maintaining the same probabilities for each draw. It is important to recognize this concept when determining the probabilities of independent events in the given problem.
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Sampling Distribution of Sample Proportion
Related Practice
Textbook Question

High Fives


b. If n mathletes shake hands with each other exactly once, what is the total number of handshakes?


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Textbook Question

Surge Protectors Refer to the accompanying figure showing surge protectors p and q used to protect an expensive television. If there is a surge in the voltage, the surge protector reduces it to a safe level. Assume that each surge protector has a 0.985 probability of working correctly when a voltage surge occurs.


a. If the two surge protectors are arranged in series, what is the probability that a voltage surge will not damage the television? (Do not round the answer.)

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Textbook Question

Denomination Effect

In Exercises 13–16, use the data in the following table. In an experiment to study the effects of using four quarters versus a \$1 bill, some college students were given four quarters and others were given a \(1 bill, and they could either keep the money or spend it on gum. The results are summarized in the table (based on data from “The Denomination Effect,” by Priya Raghubir and Joydeep Srivastava, Journal of Consumer Research, Vol. 36).



Denomination Effect


a. Find the probability of randomly selecting a student who spent the money, given that the student was given a \)1 bill.


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Textbook Question

Design Your Own Lottery You have been given the task of creating a new lottery. For each \$1 ticket, the player will select 6 different numbers from 1 to 25 (without replacement), and the only prize will be the jackpot won by players who select the six numbers (in any order) that are later drawn.


a. What is the probability of winning with one ticket?

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Textbook Question

In Exercises 9–20, use the data in the following table, which lists survey results from high school drivers at least 16 years of age (based on data from “Texting While Driving and Other Risky Motor Vehicle Behaviors Among U.S. High School Students,” by O’Malley, Shults, and Eaton, Pediatrics, Vol. 131, No. 6). Assume that subjects are randomly selected from those included in the table. Hint: Be very careful to read the question correctly.

Drinking and Driving If two of the high school drivers are randomly selected, find the probability that they both drove when drinking alcohol.

b. Assume that the selections are made without replacement. Are the events independent?

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Textbook Question

Mega Millions As of this writing, the Mega Millions lottery is run in 44 states. Winning the jackpot requires that you select the correct five different numbers from 1 to 70 and, in a separate drawing, you must also select the correct single number from 1 to 25.


a. Find the probability of winning the jackpot.

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