To understand inflation, one effective method is to track the prices of a selected group of goods over time, which is encapsulated in the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The CPI is a measure that examines the average change over time in the prices paid by consumers for a basket of goods and services. This basket is determined by surveying households to identify typical purchases, which can include items like food and water.
For example, consider a hypothetical family in "Simple Land" that purchases 50 jugs of water and £75 of food in a given year. To calculate the CPI, we first need to determine the cost of this basket of goods for each year. Let's break down the calculations for three consecutive years: 2017, 2018, and 2019.
In 2017, the cost of the basket is calculated as follows:
Cost of water: 50 jugs × \$5 = \$250
Cost of food: £75 × \$20 = \$1,500
Total cost for 2017 = \$250 + \$1,500 = \$1,750
Moving to 2018, the prices have changed:
Cost of water: 50 jugs × \$5.50 = \$275
Cost of food: £75 × \$22 = \$1,650
Total cost for 2018 = \$275 + \$1,650 = \$1,925
Finally, for 2019, we see further price adjustments:
Cost of water: 50 jugs × \$5.20 = \$260
Cost of food: £75 × \$25 = \$1,875
Total cost for 2019 = \$260 + \$1,875 = \$2,135
With these total costs, we can now calculate the CPI for each year. The CPI for a given year can be calculated using the formula:
CPI = (Cost of Basket in Current Year / Cost of Basket in Base Year) × 100
Assuming 2017 is our base year, the CPI calculations would be:
CPI for 2017 = (\$1,750 / \$1,750) × 100 = 100
CPI for 2018 = (\$1,925 / \$1,750) × 100 ≈ 110
CPI for 2019 = (\$2,135 / \$1,750) × 100 ≈ 122
To determine the inflation rate, we can use the CPI values. The inflation rate can be calculated using the formula:
Inflation Rate = ((CPI in Current Year - CPI in Previous Year) / CPI in Previous Year) × 100
Using this formula, we can find the inflation rates for 2018 and 2019:
Inflation Rate from 2017 to 2018 = ((110 - 100) / 100) × 100 = 10%
Inflation Rate from 2018 to 2019 = ((122 - 110) / 110) × 100 ≈ 10.91%
This example illustrates how the CPI is calculated and how it can be used to track inflation over time, providing valuable insights into economic conditions.
